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What's New in Science, Dave Moecher - Basics or Prediction and Risk Assessment

What's New in Science University of Kentucky Dave Moecher

Part 3 of 4: Basics or Prediction and Risk Assessment Past earthquake prediction efforts were based on several basic tenets (“the earthquake paradigm”) that are now being questioned by some seismologists. Earthquakes exhibit simple statistical distributions that can be used to understand their recurrence. Basic probability can be used to estimate earthquake recurrence intervals. Seismic risk is defined.

What's New in Science, Dave Moecher - What’s New with New Madrid?

What's New in Science University of Kentucky Dave Moecher

Part 4 of 4: What’s New with New Madrid? Surprisingly, the New Madrid seismic zone is considered as high of a seismic risk than the San Andreas Fault zone in California. This section highlights the apparent inconsistency with present estimates of seismic risk in the U.S. and Japan. Estimates of earthquake recurrence intervals can also be obtained from paleoseismology: evidence of prehistoric earthquakes preserved in the rock and sediment record.

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